Latest News

Week of April 11 – 17, 2003
Percentage Change

Symbol
April 17 Price
One Week
One Month
Three Month
Year to Date
Operators
APT SATELLITE HLDGS ATS
1.33
9.9
(11.9)
(25.7)
(22.7)
ASIASAT TELECOM SAT
13.50
(1.8)
8.0
8.9
18.5
BRITISH SKY BROADCASTING BSY
41.80
2.7
4.2
(3.7)
4.3
ECHOSTAR COMM -CL A DISH
28.74
(0.9)
(1.6)
8.4
29.1
GENERAL ELECTRIC GE
28.49
4.4
11.1
13.8
17.0
GILAT COMMUNICATIONS GICOF
0.07
(60.0)
(72.0)
(53.3)
GLOBALSTAR TELECOM GSTRF
0.06
(7.7)
(3.2)
(21.1)
15.4
HUGHES ELEC (GM -CL H) GMH
11.24
(2.1)
12.4
(3.1)
5.0
IRIDIUM WORLD COMM IRIDF
0.15
103.3
35.6
45.2
38.6
LORAL SPACE & COMM LOR
0.29
7.4
(3.3)
(27.5)
(32.6)
NEWS CORP NWS
27.25
0.1
11.6
(5.4)
3.8
NEW SKIES SATELLITES NSK
4.50
2.3
12.5
15.4
8.4
PANAMSAT SPOT
16.80
13.1
18.7
10.2
14.8
PASIFIK SATELIT NUSANTARA PSNRY
0.26
67.7
(3.7)
85.7
73.3
PEGASUS COMMUNICATIONS PGTV
19.28
7.7
38.7
45.5
47.2
SES GLOBAL SES.LU
5.20
2.0
29.7
9.5
(18.8)
SIRIUS SATELLITE RADIO SIRI
0.73
12.3
78.0
(41.6)
14.1
XM SATELLITE RADIO XMSR
7.08
14.6
60.5
82.5
163.2
Operators’ Average
100.00
13.1
13.2
6.9
18.1
Manufacturers
ANDREW ANDW
6.70
12.2
14.7
(38.1)
(34.8)
BALL BLL
56.02
(0.8)
7.5
6.4
9.4
BOEING BA
26.65
(3.0)
4.3
(20.4)
(19.2)
COM DEV INTL *CDV
0.85
3.7
13.3
(27.4)
(14.1)
GILAT SAT NETWORKS GILTF
4.50
(2.2)
(6.2)
(45.1)
(42.3)
GLOBECOM GCOM
2.90
2.8
22.4
(13.4)
(22.7)
HARRIS HRS
28.08
4.5
2.1
(10.5)
6.8
HONEYWELL HON
22.56
0.5
0.4
(10.3)
(6.0)
KVH KVHI
13.47
8.3
41.1
10.2
56.6
LOCKHEED MARTIN LMT
45.36
0.0
0.4
(15.6)
(21.5)
LUCENT TECHNOLOGIES LU
1.50
(0.7)
(0.7)
(11.2)
19.0
MOTOROLA MOT
7.90
(0.6)
(3.5)
(13.5)
(8.7)
NERA NERAY
0.95
3.5
7.3
(24.7)
(12.1)
NII NORSAT INTL NSATF
0.87
(2.2)
8.8
(10.3)
(12.6)
ORBITAL SCIENCES ORB
5.40
2.9
0.4
4.0
28.0
QUALCOMM QCOM
32.94
2.2
(12.1)
(14.2)
(9.5)
RAYTHEON RTN
28.98
2.4
11.0
(3.9)
(5.8)
ROCKWELL COLLINS COL
20.55
11.1
12.3
(6.5)
(11.7)
SCIENTIFIC-ATLANTA SFA
14.95
4.7
20.0
9.9
26.1
STM WIRELESS STMI
0.00
(50.0)
(50.0)
(99.8)
(99.8)
TITAN TTN
7.13
(3.0)
(2.5)
(39.4)
(31.4)
TRIMBLE NAVIGATION TRMB
21.20
10.7
27.8
50.7
69.7
VIASAT VSAT
12.19
4.4
2.0
(7.9)
5.6
Manufacturers’ Average
100.00
0.5
5.2
(14.4)
(5.7)
Nasdaq Composite Index COMP
1,425.50
5.1
6.4
0.1
6.7
S & P 500 SP50
893.52
3.2
7.2
(2.3)
1.6
SN Stock Price Average
100.00
6.0
8.7
(5.0)
4.7

Wall Street Analysis

By Tom Watts, SG Cowen Securities

General Motors’ [NYSE: GM] agreement to sell its interest in Hughes Electronics [NYSE: GMH] and its DirecTV unit to News Corp [NYSE: NWS] and its Fox Entertainment [NYSE: FOX] subsidiary has not caused the sea change in the satellite industry that one might expect. The share prices of Hughes, DirecTV rival EchoStar Communications [Nasdaq: DISH] and cable TV companies have moved very little. It looks as though we may have another waiting game until regulatory approvals come later this year to find out how this deal will change the industry. We expect the changes to be far-reaching. The question is, “Will they benefit Hughes shareholders?”

News Corp Chairman Rupert Murdoch vows to improve Hughes and DirecTV in several ways. First, he expects to bring monthly churn at DirecTV down from 1.5 percent to 1 percent, based on lessons learned in his other satellite TV businesses, particularly BSkyB in the United Kingdom. Such a reduction could boost Hughes’ equity value by 20 percent or more. This change would be a clear win for Hughes shareholders.

Second, Murdoch can leverage the programming assets of Fox and other businesses to differentiate the DirecTV product. Fox has had innumerable hit shows, including American Idol, Joe Millionaire, Married by America and the Simpsons. Fox News is the No. 1 news channel in America. Fox sports programming includes Fox Sports Net, the Speed Channel, NASCAR on Fox, FX and the company’s 60 percent ownership of 18 regional sports networks.

On a recent conference call, Murdoch repeatedly cited the No. 1 mission of DirecTV would be to deliver “value” to the subscriber. For that reason, we expect DirecTV to continue to exploit its price advantage over cable TV.

There is a concern about Fox’s programming relationship with DirecTV. Fox must offer comparable pricing for its programming to DirecTV’s competitors. Fox has the opportunity to raise prices across the board or negotiate concessions from all of its distributors. This situation could transfer economic benefits from DirecTV to Fox. We will have to wait until 2004 to see the results.

Tom Watts is a managing director and satellite analyst at SG Cowen Securities. He can be reached by phone at 212/278-4260 or by e-mail at [email protected]. Readers should assume that SG Cowen Securities Corp. and/or its affiliates intend to offer services in investment banking to the above referenced companies within the next three months, and to seek compensation for such services.

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