Latest News

Week of 4/23/04 – 4/29/04
Percentage Change
Symbol
April 29 Price
One Week
One Month
Three Month
Year to Date
Operators
APT SATELLITE HLDGS ATS
1.79
6.5
(13.9)
(35.1)
(24.8)
ASIASAT TELECOM SAT
16.60
0.6
(3.2)
(13.0)
(12.5)
BRITISH SKY BROADCASTING BSY
48.46
(3.0)
(4.2)
(12.7)
(4.9)
ECHOSTAR COMM -CL A DISH
32.99
(3.2)
(2.1)
(10.1)
(2.9)
THE DIRECTV GROUP DTV
17.27
(0.3)
12.3
3.4
4.4
LORAL SPACE & COMM LOR
0.49
(9.3)
(22.2)
(49.0)
55.6
NEWS CORP NWS
36.48
(3.2)
5.3
(1.0)
1.1
NEW SKIES SATELLITES NSK
7.65
4.9
14.7
11.7
6.8
PANAMSAT SPOT
23.17
(0.3)
(4.5)
12.2
7.5
PASIFIK SATELIT NUSANTARA PSNRY
0.15
7.1
(31.8)
25.0
200.0
PEGASUS COMMUNICATIONS PGTV
20.00
(8.2)
(48.3)
(57.8)
(28.8)
SES GLOBAL SESF.LU
7.90
1.3
9.0
(9.2)
(1.3)
SIRIUS SATELLITE RADIO SIRI
3.14
(9.5)
(3.1)
11.7
(0.6)
XM SATELLITE RADIO XMSR
24.09
(10.9)
(12.8)
6.5
(8.4)
Operators’ Average
100.00
(2.0)
(7.5)
(8.4)
13.7
Manufacturers
ANDREW ANDW
17.11
(16.9)
2.7
2.9
47.6
BALL BLL
65.72
(5.0)
(2.0)
9.9
10.3
BOEING BA
43.25
5.9
9.9
4.1
2.6
COM DEV INTL *CDV
2.21
(11.6)
(11.6)
(29.8)
(23.3)
EMS TECHNOLOGIES ELMG
17.81
(5.3)
(2.9)
(20.8)
(13.3)
GARMIN GRMN
33.04
(17.8)
(23.7)
(37.7)
(39.4)
GILAT SAT NETWORKS GILTF
6.87
(11.1)
(15.4)
(11.7)
40.5
GLOBECOM GCOM
5.91
8.0
9.2
(6.0)
24.4
HARRIS HRS
45.14
(7.0)
(4.4)
(5.5)
18.9
HONEYWELL HON
35.23
3.7
6.4
(1.3)
5.4
KVH KVHI
14.07
5.6
(10.8)
(26.9)
(49.0)
LOCKHEED MARTIN LMT
47.43
3.1
3.5
(4.7)
(7.7)
LUCENT TECHNOLOGIES LU
3.46
(12.6)
(12.6)
(20.6)
21.8
MOTOROLA MOT
18.59
(3.7)
9.5
10.0
32.8
ORBITAL SCIENCES ORB
12.98
2.8
12.1
(2.0)
8.0
QUALCOMM QCOM
64.41
(2.2)
4.3
13.9
19.4
RAYTHEON RTN
32.00
1.2
4.0
2.6
6.5
ROCKWELL COLLINS COL
32.38
1.8
4.4
(1.7)
7.8
SCIENTIFIC-ATLANTA SFA
33.70
3.2
6.3
0.2
23.4
SKY FRAMES SKYU
0.10
900.0
TITAN TTN
19.05
(2.4)
(5.8)
(12.4)
(12.7)
TRIMBLE NAVIGATION TRMB
24.94
6.4
10.8
0.4
0.5
VIASAT VSAT
21.76
(8.6)
(11.5)
(2.4)
13.7
Manufacturers’ Average
100.00
(2.7)
(0.8)
33.1
6.0
Nasdaq Composite Index
Nasdaq comp
1,958.78
(1.8)
(0.1)
(5.7)
(2.2)
SP 500 sp50
1,113.88
(0.9)
0.5
(1.3)
0.2
SN Stock Price Average
100.00
(2.4)
(3.3)
17.4
8.9

Wall Street Analysis

This week will offer an important indicator of how satellite operators are performing. Both of the big U.S. satellite TV service providers, DirecTV and EchoStar Communications [DISH], are releasing their first-quarter results. In addition, New Skies Satellites N.V. [NSK] and PanAmSat [SPOT] are scheduled to do likewise.

With economic indicators pointing upward, demand for satellite capacity and services should follow suit. I expect slightly improved results generally for satellite operators during the first quarter of 2004 compared with the same quarter last year.

What could be especially interesting are the conference calls between the management at each company and the analysts who cover them. DirecTV and EchoStar are at odds in lobbying in Washington, D.C., as well as fiercely competing in the marketplace for customers. PanAmSat was sold last month, and its CEO Joe Wright will have a chance to offer his view of the future when he addresses analysts. Dan Goldberg, the CEO of New Skies, will be presented with an opportunity to clarify just how interested he is in exploring the potential sale of his company with the help of its investment banker, Goldman Sachs.

With Intelsat recently confirming talks with possible financial buyers, virtually all of the traditional, global fixed satellite services (FSS) companies, except for Luxembourg-based SES Global, appear to be in play. Clearly, the always interesting satellite industry may involve further ownership changes at key companies in the coming months. The effects of those changes will be worth monitoring to determine which companies end up as the long-term survivors. The list that might be drawn up by year’s end could differ markedly from what may have been expected at the end of 2003. SES Global appears to the strongest candidate for survival, while the consolidation path the others will undertake is less clear.

Paul Dykewicz is senior editor and senior analyst of Satellite News. He can be reached at 301/354-1769 or at [email protected].

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