Latest News

Week of May 14 – 20, 2004
Percentage Change
Symbol
May 20 Price
One Week
One Month
Three Month
Year to Date
Operators
APT SATELLITE HLDGS ATS
1.69
(1.2)
(10.6)
(32.7)
(29.0)
ASIASAT TELECOM SAT
15.42
(6.3)
(6.3)
(25.5)
(18.8)
BRITISH SKY BROADCASTING BSY
44.12
(0.7)
(13.2)
(20.2)
(13.4)
ECHOSTAR COMM -CL A DISH
31.18
3.3
(6.1)
(15.0)
(8.3)
THE DIRECTV GROUP DTV
17.05
(1.1)
(2.5)
0.1
3.0
LORAL SPACE & COMM LOR
0.28
(15.2)
(41.7)
(62.7)
(11.1)
NEWS CORP NWS
35.52
(0.3)
(5.8)
(6.6)
(1.6)
NEW SKIES SATELLITES NSK
6.90
(2.8)
(2.3)
0.3
(3.6)
PANAMSAT SPOT
23.09
(0.5)
(6.9)
1.3
7.1
PASIFIK SATELIT NUSANTARA PSNRY
0.22
57.1
(8.3)
340.0
PEGASUS COMMUNICATIONS PGTV
12.50
(27.7)
(50.3)
(52.1)
(55.5)
SES GLOBAL SESF.LU
6.65
(4.3)
(11.9)
(15.8)
(16.9)
SIRIUS SATELLITE RADIO SIRI
3.10
(2.2)
(22.1)
6.9
(1.9)
XM SATELLITE RADIO XMSR
23.13
1.6
(15.6)
(1.2)
(12.0)
Operators’ Average
100.00
(4.1)
(9.9)
(16.5)
12.7
Manufacturers
ANDREW ANDW
17.62
1.4
(13.9)
6.7
52.0
BALL BLL
65.05
0.5
(6.6)
0.5
9.2
BOEING BA
42.92
(1.5)
3.4
(3.6)
1.9
COM DEV INTL *CDV
2.31
(0.9)
(12.8)
(20.3)
(19.8)
EMS TECHNOLOGIES ELMG
18.23
(3.1)
(4.0)
(17.9)
(11.2)
GARMIN GRMN
31.54
8.3
(22.6)
(32.3)
(42.1)
GILAT SAT NETWORKS GILTF
5.10
(12.1)
(36.5)
(32.1)
4.3
GLOBECOM GCOM
5.50
(1.1)
1.1
(8.6)
15.8
HARRIS HRS
43.72
1.9
(9.9)
(11.5)
15.2
HONEYWELL HON
33.02
(1.1)
(4.6)
(7.6)
(1.2)
KVH KVHI
12.91
(4.5)
(3.1)
(24.7)
(53.2)
LOCKHEED MARTIN LMT
46.61
(2.7)
(0.7)
(3.8)
(9.3)
LUCENT TECHNOLOGIES LU
3.25
(3.6)
(24.9)
(19.4)
14.4
MOTOROLA MOT
19.25
2.1
15.3
10.6
37.5
ORBITAL SCIENCES ORB
12.27
(3.0)
(3.9)
(7.8)
2.1
QUALCOMM QCOM
64.18
0.4
(3.6)
9.2
19.0
RAYTHEON RTN
32.51
0.9
3.4
1.5
8.2
ROCKWELL COLLINS COL
29.69
(1.4)
(9.1)
(9.1)
(1.1)
SCIENTIFIC-ATLANTA SFA
32.25
(1.0)
0.5
(1.2)
18.1
SKY FRAMES SKYU
0.10
TITAN TTN
19.14
0.3
(2.2)
(8.8)
(12.2)
TRIMBLE NAVIGATION TRMB
24.13
(6.0)
5.0
7.3
(2.8)
VIASAT VSAT
22.33
1.6
(7.7)
(14.1)
16.7
Manufacturers’ Average
100.00
(1.1)
(6.0)
(8.1)
2.7
Nasdaq Composite Index
Nasdaq comp
1,896.59
(1.5)
(6.1)
(7.3)
(5.3)
SP 500 sp50
1,089.18
(0.7)
(4.1)
(5.0)
(2.0)
SN Stock Price Average
100.00
(2.2)
(7.4)
(11.3)
6.5

Wall Street Analysis

By Tom Watts, SG Cowen Securities

Reports suggest that DirecTV will be issuing offering documents for the remaining parts of Hughes Network Systems (HNS) shortly, following the recent sale of HNS’s settop box business to Thomson. The sale of HNS certainly promises to continue the re-focusing of DirecTV on its satellite television business. However, the HNS asset sales also point to a possible re-shaping of other segments of the industry.

HNS’s DirecWay business could go to Liberty Media or to WildBlue. Liberty could even swap a portion of its holdings of News Corp. shares back to DirecTV as part of the purchase. DirecWay’s roughly 190,000 subscribers could also help jump-start the WildBlue venture, which plans to begin commercial broadband service later this year. Of course, as part of this deal, we could also see DirecTV choose WildBlue as its broadband partner. DirecTV President and CEO Chase Carey has indicated he wants to partner for the broadband offering that would be bundled with DirecTV.

HNS’s VSAT business offers intriguing possibilities for the enterprise business. San Diego area company ViaSat has indicated potential interest in HNS’s VSAT manufacturing business. ViaSat CEO Mark Dankberg recently commented that ViaSat could partner with a financial buyer, having the financial buyer purchase the service portion of the VSAT business and ViaSat purchase the manufacturing side. The deal could face one potential hitch. With ViaSat’s recent momentum in the VSAT market, we believe it has already climbed to the #2 position worldwide, after Hughes. A combination with Hughes could present antitrust issues. Nevertheless, several other competitors remain in the market, so the deal may pass antitrust muster. These competitors include Alcatel, Gilat, and EMS.

The Spaceway system may offer the most intriguing HNS asset. DirecTV recently indicated it would not give up the Spaceway spectrum. It also may have use for the Spaceway satellites, at least on an interim basis. This may suggest no sale of Spaceway. Or it could suggest a Spaceway sale to an operator such as Intelsat.

Tom Watts is a Managing Director and satellite analyst at SG Cowen Securities. He can be reached by phone at 212/278-4260 or by e-mail at [email protected]. Readers should assume that SG Cowen Securities Corp. and/or its affiliates intend to offer services in investment banking to the above referenced companies within the next three months, and to seek compensation for such services.

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