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September 2008

Price: $2,995.00


Enterprise License: $5,995.00

NSR Research Report: Mobile TV and Mobile Video, 2nd Edition: A Complete 360-degree Analysis


Format

PDF on CD-Rom


Description


While voice, messaging, music and Internet are increasingly adopted across both fixed and mobile contexts, television remains the last of the classic entertainment/communication consumer applications yet to make the jump from fixed to mobile in a big way. Not surprisingly, mobile television (MoTV) is considered "The Next Killer App" in mobile, after music.

However, with only a few exceptions in Asia and Europe, the user adoption and the monetization of MoTV have so far been elusive. Predictions have not fully materialized despite mobile phone penetration expanding beyond expectations and operators' willingness to introduce new applications that drive margins and data ARPU.

Mobile TV and mobile video are challenging applications with complex ecosystems and evolving business cases shaped by a number of converging conditions. Factors affecting MoTV include advertisement accountability and new metrics development, terrestrial-wireless cross-platform service bundling, broadcasters' erosion in traditional advertisement income, spectrum vacated by television digitization and changing consumer behavior. Thus, growth in mobile TV services appears to hinge on the gradual alignment of a number of conditions taking place simultaneously in mobile, broadcast, advertisement and Internet that will empower the lean-forward characteristics of the mobile user and encourage use and monetization in new ways, not necessarily transferable from past traditional experiences.

This completely updated NSR study takes a 360-degree view on the converging telecom and entertainment environment and analyzes business and technology trends that affect the evolution of this exciting emerging application in each region.


REPORT DIFFERENTIATORS and UNSURPASSED NSR VALUE
    • The most complete 360-degree analysis of convergence trends influencing the MoTV business
    • Extensive bottom-up market forecasts
      1. Regional forecasts of mobile TV handset users for the different distribution technologies: terrestrial broadcast, satellite broadcast and unicast 3G/4G.
      2. Regional revenue forecast breakdown by revenue source: advertisement, subscription and transactional.
    • Customizable business case models for BOTH broadcast and unicast mobile TV
    • NSR cutting edge trend analysis
      1. Analysis of converging trends taking place across mobile, broadcast, telecom, cable, satellite and Internet that impact the mobile TV business.
      2. Head-to-tail analysis of the economics of mobile TV and mobile video distribution: Broadcast, unicast, side-loading and the place-shifting paradigm.
      3. A forward-looking view at mobile service "platformization" and cross-platform advertisement.

Primary Questions Addressed by this Report:
  • What are the business and technology trends shaping the future of the Mobile TV business?
  • What challenges remain and what new challenges are likely to emerge as a result of increased telco-cable competition, cross-platform advertisement and service bundling?
  • What is the role to play by advertisement-supported mobile television, subscription-based services and the transactional characteristics of the mobile phone?
  • What role will 3G Unicast mobile video play at different adoption stages?
  • What are the likely MoTV-specific moves to be made by telcos, satellite and cable operators in their efforts to increase ARPU and consumer loyalty?
  • What are the mobile-specific trends that encourage or discourage users from transferring their TV viewing behavior from the TV set and PC to the handset?

Who Should Purchase this Report:
  • Mobile TV Service Providers and Aggregators
  • Cellular Operators and Telecom Service Providers
  • Cable Companies and MSOs Evaluating Entry Options in the Mobile Space
  • Direct-to-Home (DTH) Operators Considering Cross-Platform TV Play
  • FSS and MSS Satellite Operators and Service Providers
  • Advertisers and Agencies Allocating Cross-Platform Ad Budgets
  • Smartphone Handset Manufacturers
  • Internet Players Expanding into Mobile Rich-Media
  • Regulators Evaluating Analog Television Switch-off Alternatives

Primary Elements of the Report Include:
  • Industry Analysis
    • Key Drivers and Deterrents
    • Lessons Learned
  • Convergence and Cross-Platform Trends Shaping the Business
  • Market Assessment and Forecasts
    • Mobile TV Users, by Region
      • Broadcast MoTV Users
      • Unicast MoTV Users
    • Mobile TV Revenues, by Region
      • Subscription Revenue
      • Advertisement Revenue
      • Transactional Revenue
    • Mobile TV Handset Sales
      • Broadcast-enabled MoTV Handset Sales
  • Customizable Business Case Models for Comparison of Mobile TV Networks
    • Broadcast-based Models
    • Unicast-based Models

A Complete Analytical Perspective
Elements of this extensive study include:
  • Complete report document segmented by analysis on all applications, end user categories, equipment, spectrum and demand trends
  • An Excel file containing extensive data and charts so the client can easily use this work as a basis for their own internal market projections
  • An Excel file containing two Business Case models for comparison of broadcast and unicast mobile TV networks- both can be customized by the client to incorporate their own business case inputs.
Have Questions on the Content or Scope of this Report?
Please Click Here to E Mail Your Questions to the Report Author

Table Of Contents

Executive Summary

1. Mobile TV Industry Overview
   1.1 Report Scope
   1.2 Market Introduction
   1.3 Mobile Television and Fixed-Mobile Convergence
     1.3.1 Wired and Mobile TV: Same Application, Different Rules
   1.4 Stakeholders: Roles and Drivers
     1.4.1 The Cellular Service Provider and Operator
     1.4.2 The Mobile TV Aggregator
     1.4.3 The Broadcast Network Operator
     1.4.4 The Advertiser
     1.4.5 The Broadcaster
     1.4.6 The Content Creator
     1.4.7 The Satellite Operator
     1.4.8 The Cable Operator and MSO
     1.4.9 The End User
     1.4.10 The Handset Manufacturer
   1.5 Review of Mobile TV Standards and Technologies
     1.5.1 Broadcast: In-Band and Out-of-Band
       1.5.1.1 DVB-H
       1.5.1.2 MediaFLO
       1.5.1.3 ATSC M/H
       1.5.1.4 T-DMB
       1.5.1.5 ISDB-T
       1.5.1.6 CMMB
       1.5.1.7 Traditional TV in Handsets: Analog and Digital
     1.5.2 Unicast and Multicast: 3G and 4G
     1.5.3 Satellite
       1.5.3.1 DVB-SH
       1.5.3.2 S-DMB

2. Market Analysis
   2.1 Lessons Learned from Current Broadcast and Unicast Mobile TV Services
   2.2 Spectrum and Regulation: The Television Analog Switch Off
   2.3 Fixed-Mobile Service Convergence and Options for Telcos, Cablecos and Satellite Operators
   2.4 Trends Shaping the Future of Mobile TV
     2.4.1 Mobile TV "Platformization" for Service Aggregation and Delivery
       2.4.1.1 Broadcast Mobile TV Platformization
       2.4.1.2 Unicast Mobile TV Platformization
     2.4.2 The Effects of UGC and Web-Mobile Social Networking
     2.4.3 The Cell Phone OS Battle: Symbian, Google Android, Apple, Microsoft
     2.4.4 The Engaging Mobile TV Ad: From Passive to Active, from Ratings to Click-to-View
       2.4.4.1 Trends in Internet Advertising
       2.4.4.2 Trends in Broadcast and Cable Advertising
       2.4.4.3 Prospects for Mobile TV Advertising
     2.4.5 Horizontal Cross-Platform Advertisement: Cable Project Canoe Case
     2.4.6 Openness vs. Gatekeeping: Opportunity Windows
     2.4.7 Network Neutrality and the Content Place-Shifting Paradigm
     2.4.8 Off-Deck and On-Deck Advertisements
     2.4.9 Mobile Data ARPU Trends
     2.4.10 The Lean-Forward Mobile User and the Internet Generation
     2.4.11 Handsets "PC-ization"
   2.5 The Economics of Mobile TV Distribution: Scalability and Personalization Issues, from Content Head to Tail
     2.5.1 Broadcast and Unicast
     2.5.2 Wi-Fi, Micro-SD and Docking Side-Loading and Dis-intermediation
   2.6 Broadcast Business Model Analysis
     2.6.1 Broadcaster- Led Model
     2.6.2 Mobile Operator-Led Model
     2.6.3 Aggregator Wholesale-Led Model
     2.6.4 Satellite-Terrestrial Hybrid Model
   2.7 Bottom Line

3. Regional Mobile TV Analysis and Forecasts
   3.1 Forecast Methodology
     3.1.1 Methodology Elements
     3.1.2 Definition of Rating Elements
   3.2 Global Market
     3.2.1 Key Trends
     3.2.2 Global Mobile TV Subscriber Forecast
     3.2.3 Service Revenues Forecast
     3.2.4 Handset Sales Forecast
   3.3 North America
     3.3.1 Key Trends and Players
     3.3.2 Market Forecasts
   3.4 Latin America
     3.4.1 Key Trends and Players
     3.4.2 Market Forecasts
   3.5 Europe
     3.5.1 Key Trends and Players
     3.5.2 Market Forecasts
   3.6 Middle East and Africa
     3.6.1 Key Trends and Players
     3.6.2 Market Forecasts
   3.7 Asia and Australasia
     3.7.1 Key Trends and Players
     3.7.2 Market Forecasts



List Of Exhibits

Chapter 1
Ex. 1.1 Mobile TV Influencers
Ex. 1.2 Mobile TV and Mobile Video Development Roadmap
Ex. 1.3 Korea T-DMB versus S-DMB and Advertisement Revenues
Ex. 1.4 S-DMB versus Television Viewing in Korea
Ex. 1.5 Smartphones and Features
Ex. 1.6 Out-of-band Broadcast Mobile TV Network Diagram
Ex. 1.7 In-band Broadcast Mobile TV Network Diagram
Ex. 1.8 DVB-H Frame Structure
Ex. 1.9 Digital TV Spectrum Allocation
Ex. 1.10 ISDB-T Channel, Segment and Program Allocation
Ex. 1.11 Cellular 3G Mobile TV Network Diagram
Ex. 1.12 Terrestrial-Satellite Hybrid Broadcast Mobile TV Network Diagram
Ex. 1.13 DVB-SH Frequency Range
Ex. 1.14 Hybrid Satellite-Terrestrial Network Diagram
Ex. 1.15 The DVB-SH 5-6 dB Advantage
Chapter 2
Ex. 2.1 Regional Trends for Mobile TV Spectrum and Regulation
Ex. 2.2 Digitization Plans in Europe
Ex. 2.3 Digital TV Penetration Scenario in Europe
Ex. 2.4 Evolution of Demand for Mobile TV and Mobile Video
Ex. 2.5 Multi-Platform Mobile TV Ecosystem
Ex. 2.6 Free-to-Air versus Subscription Users Take-up
Ex. 2.7 Qualcomm MediaFLO Service Delivery Platform
Ex. 2.8 2008 Nokia Awards for Application Developers
Ex. 2.9 Android OS Architecture
Ex. 2.10 Typical Cost to Transport 1 MegaByte of Traffic over Various Mobile Networks
Ex. 2.11 Mobile Video Use on Various Devices
Ex. 2.12 Mobile Video Use Demographics
Ex. 2.13 Broadcast vs. Unicast Mobile Video Distribution
Ex. 2.14 Broadcast vs. Unicast Traffic Determination Based on Content Popularity
Ex. 2.15 Common Cellular Applications, Bandwidth and Revenues
Ex. 2.16 Revenue per Megabyte for the Various Mobile Services (Logarithmic Scale)
Ex. 2.17 Broadcaster-Led Mobile TV Model
Ex. 2.18 Mobile Operator-Led Mobile TV Model
Ex. 2.19 Aggregator Wholesale-Led Mobile TV Model
Chapter 3
Ex. 3.1 Mobile TV User Forecast Methodology
Ex. 3.2 Broadcast Mobile TV Revenue Forecast Methodology
Ex. 3.3 Unicast Mobile TV Revenue Forecast Methodology
Ex. 3.4 Handset Sales Calculation and Reference Ratios
Ex. 3.5 Rating Elements for Subscription-based Broadcast Mobile TV
Ex. 3.6 Rating Elements for FTA-based Broadcast Mobile TV
Ex. 3.7 Rating Elements for Subscription-based Unicast Mobile TV
Ex. 3.8 Rating Elements for Transaction-based Unicast Mobile TV
Ex. 3.9 Mobile TV Growth Factors Calculation
Ex. 3.10 Global Mobile TV Users, by Region and Type of Network
Ex. 3.11 Broadcast-Only Mobile TV Users, by Region
Ex. 3.12 Unicast-Only Mobile TV Users, by Region
Ex. 3.13 Broadcast AND Unicast Mobile TV Users, by Region
Ex. 3.14 Total Mobile TV Users, by Region
Ex. 3.15 Global Mobile TV Service Revenues, by Region and Type of Network
Ex. 3.16 Mobile TV Subscription Revenues, by Region
Ex. 3.17 Mobile TV Advertisement Revenues, by Region
Ex. 3.18 Mobile TV Transactional Revenues, by Region
Ex. 3.19 Total Mobile TV Revenues, by Region
Ex. 3.20 Global Mobile Handset Sales, by Region and Type of Handset
Ex. 3.21 Mobile Phone Handset Sales, by Region
Ex. 3.22 3G Handset/Smartphone Sales, by Region
Ex. 3.23 Broadcast Mobile TV-enabled Handset Sales, by Region
Ex. 3.24 North America Mobile TV Market- Users, Revenues and Handset Sales
Ex. 3.25 Mobile TV Users- North America
Ex. 3.26 Mobile TV Revenues- North America
Ex. 3.27 Hybrid Satellite-Terrestrial Broadcast Mobile TV Users- North America
Ex. 3.28 Broadcast Mobile TV-enabled Handset Sales- North America
Ex. 3.29 Latin America Mobile TV Market- Users, Revenues and Handset Sales
Ex. 3.30 Mobile TV Users- Latin America
Ex. 3.31 Mobile TV Revenues- Latin America
Ex. 3.32 Hybrid Satellite-Terrestrial Broadcast Mobile TV Users- Latin America
Ex. 3.33 Broadcast Mobile TV-enabled Handset Sales- Latin America
Ex. 3.34 Europe Mobile TV Market- Users, Revenues and Handset Sales
Ex. 3.35 Mobile TV Users- Europe
Ex. 3.36 Mobile TV Revenues- Europe
Ex. 3.37 Hybrid Satellite-Terrestrial Broadcast Mobile TV Users- Europe
Ex. 3.38 Broadcast Mobile TV-enabled Handset Sales- Europe
Ex. 3.39 Middle East & Africa Mobile TV Market- Users, Revenues and Handset Sales
Ex. 3.40 Mobile TV Users- Middle East & Africa
Ex. 3.41 Mobile TV Revenues- Middle East & Africa
Ex. 3.42 Hybrid Satellite-Terrestrial Broadcast Mobile TV Users- Middle East & Africa
Ex. 3.43 Broadcast Mobile TV-enabled Handset Sales- Middle East & Africa
Ex. 3.44 Asia & Australasia Mobile TV Market- Users, Revenues and Handset Sales
Ex. 3.45 Mobile TV Users- Asia & Australasia
Ex. 3.46 Mobile TV Revenues- Asia & Australasia
Ex. 3.47 Hybrid Satellite-Terrestrial Broadcast Mobile TV Users- Asia & Australasia
Ex. 3.48 Broadcast Mobile TV-enabled Handset Sales- Asia & Australasia

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