The Satellite News Financial Ticker
Week of Aug. 29 – Sept. 4, 2003
|
Percentage Change
|
|||||
|
Symbol
|
Sept. 4 Price
|
One Week
|
One Month
|
Three Month
|
Year to Date
|
Operators
|
||||||
APT SATELLITE HLDGS | ATS |
3.1
|
13.1
|
0.6
|
55.8
|
80.2
|
ASIASAT TELECOM | SAT |
16.9
|
9.7
|
–
|
1.8
|
48.4
|
BRITISH SKY BROADCASTING | BSY |
42.33
|
0.4
|
-6.3
|
-2
|
5.7
|
ECHOSTAR COMM -CL A | DISH |
38.76
|
6.5
|
8.4
|
17.3
|
74.1
|
HUGHES ELEC (GM -CL H) | GMH |
15
|
3.6
|
10.1
|
23
|
40.2
|
LORAL SPACE & COMM | LOR |
0.2
|
-2.4
|
-8
|
-94.3
|
-95.3
|
NEWS CORP | NWS |
34.92
|
4.6
|
14.7
|
13.2
|
33
|
NEW SKIES SATELLITES | NSK |
5.65
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
-5.8
|
36.1
|
PANAMSAT | SPOT |
15.6
|
-2.9
|
-9
|
-17.8
|
6.6
|
PASIFIK SATELIT NUSANTARA | PSNRY |
0.08
|
–
|
14.3
|
6.7
|
-46.7
|
PEGASUS COMMUNICATIONS | PGTV |
18.1
|
-4.7
|
-49.3
|
-29.8
|
38.2
|
rSTAR CORP | RSTRC |
0.7
|
-10.3
|
18.6
|
34.6
|
191.7
|
SES GLOBAL | SESF.LU |
6.2
|
-8.1
|
–
|
17
|
-3.1
|
SIRIUS SATELLITE RADIO | SIRI |
1.66
|
3.8
|
-8.1
|
-29.4
|
159.4
|
XM SATELLITE RADIO | XMSR |
13.68
|
2.6
|
-2.6
|
9.4
|
408.6
|
Operators’ Average |
100
|
1.1
|
-1.1
|
0
|
65.1
|
|
Manufacturers
|
||||||
ANDREW | ANDW |
12.7
|
8
|
20.2
|
32.2
|
23.5
|
BALL | BLL |
52.9
|
8.1
|
9.3
|
9.2
|
3.3
|
BOEING | BA |
37.84
|
4.7
|
16.7
|
17.8
|
14.7
|
EMS TECHNOLOGIES | ELMG |
18.92
|
9.7
|
14.7
|
40.1
|
21.5
|
GARMEN LTD. | GRMN |
42.94
|
7.1
|
12.3
|
-11.4
|
46.6
|
GILAT SAT NETWORKS | GILTF |
4.9
|
9.1
|
1.7
|
22.2
|
-37.2
|
GLOBECOM | GCOM |
4.65
|
17.4
|
19.5
|
55.5
|
24
|
HARRIS | HRS |
35.27
|
8.1
|
9.7
|
15.8
|
34.1
|
HONEYWELL | HON |
29.5
|
3.1
|
5.3
|
10.3
|
22.9
|
KVH | KVHI |
29.89
|
8.1
|
49.7
|
42.3
|
247.6
|
LOCKHEED MARTIN | LMT |
51.64
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
12.4
|
-10.6
|
LUCENT TECHNOLOGIES | LU |
2.14
|
13.2
|
23
|
1.4
|
69.8
|
MOTOROLA | MOT |
10.84
|
1
|
17.4
|
27.7
|
25.3
|
NERA | NERAY |
2.24
|
9.8
|
13
|
53.1
|
106.6
|
ORBITAL SCIENCES | ORB |
9.23
|
4.1
|
14
|
58
|
118.7
|
QUALCOMM | QCOM |
41.16
|
0.4
|
12.8
|
18.7
|
13.1
|
RAYTHEON | RTN |
32.47
|
2.8
|
5.2
|
2.4
|
5.6
|
ROCKWELL COLLINS | COL |
27.54
|
2.2
|
5.6
|
18.6
|
18.4
|
SCIENTIFIC-ATLANTA | SFA |
34.99
|
6.4
|
14.7
|
75
|
195
|
SKY FRAMES | SKYU |
1.09
|
24.6
|
9
|
-46.8
|
-86.4
|
STM WIRELESS | STMI |
0.01
|
233.3
|
100
|
100
|
-95
|
TITAN | TTN |
16.85
|
2.6
|
12.4
|
96.4
|
62
|
TRIMBLE NAVIGATION | TRMB |
28.22
|
5.3
|
5.3
|
8.5
|
125.9
|
VIASAT | VSAT |
16.44
|
2.4
|
21.8
|
33.2
|
42.5
|
Manufacturers’ Average |
100
|
16.3
|
17.2
|
28.9
|
41.3
|
|
Nasdaq Composite Index | COMP |
1,868.98
|
4.9
|
8.9
|
16.6
|
39.9
|
S & P 500 | SP50 |
1,027.97
|
3.1
|
4.9
|
5.8
|
16.8
|
SN Stock Price Average |
100
|
10.5
|
10.2
|
17.8
|
50.5
|
Wall Street Analysis
By Tom Watts, SG Cowen Securities
Last quarter, EchoStar Communications [Nasdaq: DISH] experienced higher than usual churn of about 1.65 percent per month versus its average of about 1.5 percent.
So what did EchoStar do to stop the bleeding? Hand out free digital video recorders (DVRs), of course. Last week, EchoStar announced its plans to offer for free its new Dish Player 510 DVR to new subscribers, going head to head with Hughes Electronics’ [NYSE: GMH] DirecTV and TiVo [Nasdaq: TIVO] as well as cable operators’ video-on-demand and DVR offerings.
But gaining new subscribers comes with a price. Last quarter, EchoStar reported subscriber acquisition costs of $408, and we expect it to reach $490 by the end of this year.
Is it worth it? We think so. Just look at DirecTV. It reported that the churn rate for its TiVo DVR customers was down to 0.5 percent in the second quarter compared to a 1.5 percent churn rate for non-DVR customers.
We don’t expect the buck to stop with a free DVR. We expect to see some new and aggressive pricing offers. Also, we look forward to the unveiling of the Dish Player 921 HD with a 240 Gigabyte hard drive, dual-tuner DVR capability and the ability to record digital signals from broadcast stations. We also expect EchoStar to launch its own high-definition monitor soon.
With new marketing tactics underway, we see significant opportunities for both EchoStar and DirecTV to capture market share from cable.
Tom Watts is a managing director and satellite analyst at SG Cowen Securities. He can be reached by phone at 212/278-4260 or by e-mail at . Readers should assume that SG Cowen Securities Corp. and/or its affiliates intend to offer services in investment banking to the above referenced companies within the next three months, and to seek compensation for such services.