Teal Group Analysts Identify More Than 3,000 Proposed Space Payloads Between now and 2032

Satellite Depiction. Photo: U.S. Air Force

[Via Satellite 11-27-13] Space analysts from Teal Group, an aerospace and defense consulting firm, have identified 3,164 space payloads that have been proposed to be built and launched to Earth or deep space orbits between 2013 and 2032. They estimate the value of these potential satellites and other space payloads at more than $235 billion.

Near term, Teal analysts identify and quantify 276 proposed launches in 2013 (not counting the 150 launched through November 20, 2013), 481 in 2014, 481 in 2015, 329 in 2016, 173 in 2017, 102 in 2019, 111 in 2020, 98 in 2021 and 103 in 2022.

“Most spacecraft that have been announced are proposed to be built and launched within the next three to four years,” said Marco Caceres, senior space analyst, Teal Group. “That’s why the numbers are so high over the next four years. We simply know more for the near-term than the out-years: 81 in 2023, 82 in 2024, 99 in 2025, 89 in 2026, 75 in 2027, 83 in 2028, 86 in 2029, 104 in 2030, 79 in 2031, and 85 in 2032. Keep in mind probably half (or more) of the spacecraft announced and identified in our Teal Group Worldwide Mission Model will never be built and launched, because of insufficient funding or technical challenges,” said Caceres. “And other spacecraft not yet proposed or even conceived will be built and launched. And that’s why we keep careful track of payload activity, altering our numbers with daily changes, as required.”